Finally…..a World Cup Review

28 Jul

As promised a little while back, as we all look forward to the new season, a review of my betting during those glorious 4 weeks of football we called ‘The World Cup’.

Bet Type Number of Bets Pts profit Total Staked Average Odds
1X2 13 12.71 17.50 3.62
Half Time 7 9.03 11.50 2.18
Both 7 8.63 9.00 2.23
Special 8 8.50 6.00 8.77
AH 3 3.05 3.50 2.39
HT/FT 2 3.00 1.50 7.75
Last Goal 3 2.02 4.00 2.01
O/U 6 1.50 8.00 2.00
DNB 1 1.50 1.00 2.50
Corners 10 1.43 13.00 2.39
Qualify 3 0.50 4.00 3.64
Goals 2 0.30 4.00 2.18
To Nil 3 0.30 4.00 2.03
Penalties 1 -0.50 0.50 12.00
Comeback 1 -0.50 0.50 9.00
Bookings 2 -1.00 1.00 4.50
T Goals 1 -1.00 1.00 3.10
Multiple 1 -1.00 1.00 2.09
1st goal 8 -1.54 7.50 4.62
C Score 4 -3.00 3.00 9.13
G Score 18 -5.43 14.50 7.08
Grand Total 104 38.49 116.00 4.54

So the above table is a break down of all my match bets, tipped up on this blog, for the 64 games in South Africa. Well actually 62, as I missed Denmark v Cameroon and decided to avoid Germany v England.

So 104 bets placed and a tasty 38 and half points profit more or less. Surprisingly most bets were placed on the Goal Scorer market with the least success. Selecting a winning goal scorer bet is harder than it looks along with my second worse market, correct scores and I guess the bookies love that.

Lucky there was a lot more success elsewhere, mainly around the match result. This again was another surprise as I thought was going more around these markets and selecting alternatives instead.

However nearly 13 points profit proves that analysis of teams tactics (thanks to the wonderful www.zonalmarking.net) before the game proved successful in the long run.

As well as the main result, half time draws proved very successful checking pre-match tactics beforehand helped determined the likelihood of such an event.

Other markets I will continue to progress in are Both Teams to Score and even my Achilles betting heal Overs and Unders turned a profit.

Corner betting also gave me a small profit but needs a bit more work as 10 bets for over 1 point profit is a little low.

As mentioned before, the success I gained from match betting was negated by my silly selections pre-World Cup, when I tried to select bets nobody else would. It soon came to light though that winning was far more important, and even the lucky woodwork bet which won me 10 points from the start couldn’t hide my success throughout the tournament once I analysed correctly.

The 3 winning bets from the ante post by the way, were Heskey not to score, Argentina not to win the World Cup and Forlan each way win on Golden Boot. Ironically the profit from Forlan was then lost on the Golden Ball as my selection Sneijder came second to the Uruguayan striker.

So that was my World Cup, success in many places, sometimes with a bit of luck, but certainly moving in the right direction.

Roll on the new season.

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